Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.016997 0.018947 0.020906 0.023017 0.025221 0.027450 0.029868
2025-03-23 0.013332 0.016376 0.019562 0.023115 0.026939 0.030909 0.035319
2025-03-30 0.010922 0.014515 0.018394 0.022829 0.027702 0.032847 0.038644
2025-04-06 0.008996 0.012936 0.017321 0.022447 0.028180 0.034317 0.041313
2025-04-13 0.007020 0.011087 0.015771 0.021379 0.027765 0.034695 0.042680
2025-04-20 0.006186 0.010496 0.015589 0.021789 0.028934 0.036756 0.045832
2025-04-27 0.005152 0.009554 0.014914 0.021565 0.029329 0.037908 0.047934
2025-05-04 0.004157 0.008557 0.014100 0.021115 0.029414 0.038670 0.049563
2025-05-11 0.003564 0.008033 0.013825 0.021269 0.030166 0.040157 0.051974
2025-05-18 0.002929 0.007378 0.013339 0.021133 0.030550 0.041200 0.053865
2025-05-25 0.002271 0.006605 0.012647 0.020707 0.030559 0.041790 0.055220
2025-06-01 0.001803 0.006055 0.012213 0.020570 0.030891 0.042731 0.056955
2025-06-08 0.001251 0.005303 0.011512 0.020140 0.030939 0.043432 0.058526
2025-06-15 0.000902 0.004844 0.011200 0.020209 0.031606 0.044877 0.060985
2025-06-22 0.000556 0.004263 0.010660 0.019944 0.031834 0.045783 0.062798
2025-06-29 0.000283 0.003689 0.010074 0.019585 0.031921 0.046503 0.064378
2025-07-06 0.000051 0.002889 0.009051 0.018583 0.031170 0.046200 0.064748
2025-07-13 0.000012 0.002730 0.009047 0.018967 0.032155 0.047960 0.067512
2025-07-20 NaN 0.002352 0.008633 0.018757 0.032369 0.048783 0.069170
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001933 0.008090 0.018335 0.032293 0.049243 0.070390
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001744 0.007950 0.018480 0.032938 0.050569 0.072620
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001484 0.007634 0.018353 0.033219 0.051442 0.074310
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001170 0.007152 0.017953 0.033128 0.051850 0.075438